Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 5.300025e-01 6.974944e-01 0.888778 1.120306 1.389900 1.691009 2.049804
2025-04-13 2.816052e-01 4.734500e-01 0.726562 1.070454 1.511411 2.044699 2.725031
2025-04-20 1.558670e-01 3.447724e-01 0.634008 1.070904 1.678133 2.459301 3.506865
2025-04-27 8.425446e-02 2.560677e-01 0.563792 1.077229 1.842356 2.877417 4.320377
2025-05-04 3.820287e-02 1.778291e-01 0.479207 1.037665 1.928430 3.190783 5.012374
2025-05-11 1.440840e-02 1.205703e-01 0.405422 0.993009 1.992487 3.469378 5.665386
2025-05-18 5.223444e-03 8.915155e-02 0.367852 0.998419 2.127878 3.851410 6.472231
2025-05-25 9.586639e-04 5.974923e-02 0.317351 0.965207 2.191611 4.126117 7.134703
2025-06-01 1.876178e-04 4.979387e-02 0.313808 1.023639 2.412448 4.645501 8.162997
2025-06-08 1.859181e-07 3.592990e-02 0.287880 1.027234 2.534680 5.015670 8.983914
2025-06-15 NaN 3.210729e-02 0.296023 1.108581 2.801615 5.621717 10.167540
2025-06-22 NaN 2.633096e-02 0.291672 1.158655 3.012719 6.145132 11.240452
2025-06-29 NaN 1.950918e-02 0.276661 1.181800 3.179109 6.610524 12.251761
2025-07-06 NaN 1.166441e-02 0.243616 1.150242 3.236702 6.900682 13.007272
2025-07-13 NaN 7.735779e-03 0.227764 1.161331 3.378183 7.333726 13.991368
2025-07-20 NaN 4.952187e-03 0.213663 1.173601 3.521528 7.773261 14.994120
2025-07-27 NaN 2.207191e-03 0.185586 1.134492 3.553243 8.022333 15.704916
2025-08-03 NaN 7.109232e-04 0.158481 1.088459 3.563857 8.232678 16.357191
2025-08-10 NaN 2.659359e-04 0.147447 1.094976 3.689031 8.646027 17.338394
2025-08-17 NaN 2.519163e-05 0.127375 1.059980 3.716549 8.885577 18.045285
2025-08-24 NaN 1.044271e-05 0.131229 1.122440 3.972457 9.541190 19.433036
2025-08-31 NaN 1.771157e-10 0.121821 1.126378 4.091008 9.951090 20.429643
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.130776 1.212996 4.410149 10.732751 22.041303